TIPPING RESULTS & PERFORMANCE HISTORY

AFL Grand Final! Geelong Cats/Brisbane Lions TOTAL o173.5 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88 Units: 1 Geelong -10.5 We’re keeping it simple today. Geelong have been the best team all year. They’ve had an incredible run with the health of their list, which means a lot on the last day of the season. They will be missing Stewart but performed well without him earlier in the season. They still have 4 quality key tall to rely on. On the other hand, the Lions are missing multiple first tea

Hot tips for the Prelim Finals & AFLW Round 6

Adelaide/Hawthorn Josh Weddle Goals Weddle switched forward last week and had 7 targets inside forward 50 for 0.1 and a miss. He could’ve had 2 or 3 if it wasn’t for the elite defensive work of Conor Idun. He probably starts on the wing on Curtain and potentially swings forward later. Even so, the Crows have been vulnerable to wings getting forward. Sidebottom kicked 3 last week and the week before that Dylan Stephens kicked 2 and Scott had 1. Bookmaker: Sportsbet/Pointsbet

1st week of AFL finals and Round 4 AFLW tips.

Paige Scott Goals Paige (‘W-De Goey’) Scott will be tatts and boganing it up deep fwd for the Tigers. Has a poor coverage history on AGS but played higher for the Bombers last season and was disgruntled most of the time anyway. On account of the bogan and the tatts probably. Is an excellent set shot so can pocket the chocky milk when it comes in their direction. Also I think the Tigers are long in the market. Not long enough for me to be confident to take the plus but let’s t

Round 24, over so quickly

St Kilda/Essendon St Kilda -28.5 The Saints have won 3 in a row without really blowing us away, but they've done what needs to be done to get the wins. In all the 4 weeks prior to that they covered the line against Geelong, Sydney, Hawthorn and Fremantle. The results for Essendon on the other hand have been a little deceiving. The weather helped keep them in it 2 weeks ago against the Swans and last week the Cats on a 5 day break didn't look particularly interested in putting

Collingwood/Hawthorn Highest Scoring Half (First) Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $2.10 Next Best: Pointsbet $1.95 Units: 0.85 Jai Newcombe o21.5 Picking off a low line for Jai. Has had plenty of excuses over the last month. Couldn't get near it matched up against Drew in the slop down in Tassie. After that was matched up on Hewett and then subbed in the third quarter with management. Last week Berry and Peatling rotated on him in a generally very low disposal night game at Adelaide Ova

Sydney/Essendon Isaac Heeney u25.5 Disposals Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.92 Units: 1 Melbourne/West Coast Tim Kelly 20+ Disposals Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87 Units: 1 Kysaiah Pickett 3+ Goals Bookmaker: TAB $2.20 Units: 0.8 Melbourne/West Coast (cont) Highest Scoring Half (Second) Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.85 Units: 1.05 Gold Coast/Richmond Bailey Humphrey 2+ Goals Bookmaker: TAB $2.30 Units: 0.7 Touk Miller 2+ Goals Bookmaker: Sportsbet $4.40 Units: 0.25 Jack Ross o20.5 Disposals Book

Essendon/Greater Western Sydney GWS -10.5 Q4 Strong trend of youth fading late in the season and GWS need % as the seasons end near with half the league on 44 points. Bookmaker: TAB $1.90 Units: 1 Jake Stringer Goals Even with Hogan in the team, Stringer attracts top 10 inside 50 target numbers and will be keen to torch his old side. Bookmaker: Betr/Pointsbet Units: 0.6U 3+ $2.35 0.3U 4+ $4.75 Lachie Whitfield o28.5 His recent history is littered with decent excuses from b

Carlton/Brisbane TOTAL o168.5 Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.92 Units: 1 Cam Rayner Goals Since Round 5 has covered this 50% of the time, many of those in easier matchups. The Blues have a particular issue with mobile medium forwards so expect him and Zac Bailey to do well. Has average over 4 shots a game sin the last 6 weeks which is huge. In some great form. Bookmaker: Pointsbet Units: 0.55U 2+ $2.75 0.15U 3+ $6.50 0.05U 4+ $26.00 GWS/GEE TOTAL o173.5 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.8

North Melbourne/Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs Second Half Line -24.5 The Roos are in a very tough spot here. Off a five day break with a trip to Perth and Launceston in the last month. They've also lost over 1000 games of experience at the selection table. The Dogs have also played two games in 11 days but have far more experience in their legs and depth at the selection table. They’re 8-0 against the bottom 8 this season and 8-0 in their last eight games against the Kang

Port Adelaide/Carlton Carlton +3.5 H1 The world is against them this week and if they're ever going to stand up for Vossy, this is the week. Carlton should dominate this week if contested ball and inside 50s, it's just whether they put it on the board. They've been far better in first halves so there's value here relative to the full game handicap which is rapidly steaming in their favour late. Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.86 Units: 0.55 Orazio Fantasia AGS Familiar with the groun

Geelong/Brisbane Tri-Bet - Either team less than 24.5 points (Under ‘Winning Margin Markets’) This is mostly a bet on the Lions and the weather. They’ve looked good without getting the result over the past few weeks and will be throwing everything at this one. They now hold the record for the highest xScore differential against in a 2 week period. Meanwhile the Cats won’t let the game slide either with it being Danger’s 350th. Either way, I can’t see this one blowing out. To

Western Bulldogs/St Kilda Western Bulldogs -20.5 Good bounce back spot here for the Dogs. Embarrassed last week by a hungrier Hawks team, the Dogs need to win this one to get in to the 8. We’ve sent some poor results at the spread for teams like the Saints who have won (luckily as they were flogged on XScore) and then gone into a bye. The Dogs gets back their best fwd weapon in Sam Darcy and I expect the Dogs and their elite contest game to get the better of the Saints much l

Western Bulldogs/Hawthorn Aaron Naughton Goals Been having a pile of shots with limited success lately. Has averaged 4 shot at goals in his last 6 games. His record against the Hawks is 3.0,2.0,0.2,4.3. The Hawks are on a 6-day break, look pretty horrible and have lost height and experience this week down back. Naughton is too agile for Barrass and too big for Battle. Averages 2.2 over the last 2 seasons at the venue. Bookmaker: Bet365 Units: 0.8U 2+ $2.05 0.4U 3+ $4.50 0.2

Brisbane/Essendon Like a few total under spots but will spread some units around to even out the risk. Any props to come closer to game time… TOTAL u174.5 Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.91 Units: 0.5 Essendon First Half TOTAL u31.5 Expecting some serious park-the-bus stuff from the Bombers in the first half with this lineup. If they don’t it’ll be 100+. Been terrible at turning defence into offence all season. Worst D50 to F50 team in the league so slow play ain’t gonna work. Bookmaker

GEE/WB Jason Johannisen 20+ JJ has decent coverage on this over his career. We expect to see more attention go into Dale tonight from Mannagh and/or Close which will leave space for him. GEE +10% to half backs so far this season. Bookmaker: TAB* $2.05 Units: 0.9 Essendon/Richmond Tim Taranto u27.5 Disposals Most likely will get the Setterfield treatment tonight as the Tigers most dangerous mid. There'll probably also be some slippery conditions making it tougher for uncontest

Gold Coast/Hawthorn Touk Miller Goals Silly price. Has kicked nine goals from eight games this season in a new hybrid fwd/mid role. We've got a high total in this one with a lot of expected goals in the 180’s. Added to that it’s Touk’s 200th game and as probably the most loved clubman on the Gold Coast, they’ll be looking for him. Especially late. Bookmaker: Bet365 Units: 1U AGS $1.91 0.3U 2+ $5.00 0.05U 3+ $19 Ben Long Goals He has been getting plenty of opportunities in fr

Fremantle/Collingwood 1st Half Highest Scoring Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $2.10 Units: 0.8 Will Hoskin-Elliot Goals Should spend more time closer to goal with the loss of Mihocek and McStay. Proven goal kicker when playing deep. Bookmaker: Bet365/Sportsbet Units: 1U AGS $1.83 Bet365 0.2U 2+ $5.30 Sportsbet 0.05 3+ $16.00 Sportsbet Carlton/St Kilda First Half u80.5 Bookmaker: TAB $1.95 Units: 0.95 *Edited due to misquote. 81.5 was gone. Callum Wilkie u19.5 Disposals The Blues hav

Round 8 tips

Round 7 tips

Round 6, 2025

4 winning weekends of tips, round 5 out now.