Round 9 (2023) B&F

RESULTS

HANDICAPS/H2Hs

MELB (vs. HAW) Second Half (-20.5)

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.88

Units: 1

TOTAL POINTS

CARL/WB (o164.5)

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.88

Units: 1

MEL (vs. HAW) (o106.5)

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.89

Units: 1

MEL (vs. HAW) Second Half (o53.5)

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.87

Units: 1

WC/GC (o170.5)

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

GOAL SCORERS

Mason Cox (AGS)

Spent most of his time fwd, had 18 ruck contests compared to Framptons 57. Coming back from his injury and with the form Frampton is in hes going to be the 2nd ruck that sees more time fwd. 2+ also looks good, may get a better price later in the week

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.83

Units: 1

Tommy Berry

Heat map is 100% fwd, took 2 marks I50 against Melb and had a goal assist. Against the Weagles should get a couple opportunities, maybe a chance hes omitted but a void bet is probably the worst that can happen, should be half the price here.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

1U AGS $2.60

0.25 2+ $12

Cam Zurhaar

Has kicked multiple goals in 4/8 games, averaging exactly 3 scores a game. Accuracy is a bit of an issue for him but he gets a lot of looks on goal. Overall is in some pretty good form this season and i like this spot for North i think they will be very competitive down at Blundstone. Cam also enjoys playing down there, has kicked 22.18 from 12 games.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

0.9U 2+ $2.65

0.45U 3+ $5.50

0.15U 4+ $18

Anthony Caminiti

Multiples in 3/5 games. The Crows lose their No.1 key defender and Ross has picked a taller lineup dropping Gresham to try and exploit that. For a key forward these odds just don't make any sense. $1.46 on SB would be closer to his true odds. Keen to make a large play on the AGS price.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

1.5U AGS $1.87

0.5U $5

0.2 $15

Will Hoskin-Elliot

Has goaled in the last 2 games and with a lack of tall options has been spending more time deeper fwd. Conditions today should suit both Collingwood and him. Won't get a lot of looks, but only needs a couple as hes a dead eye infront of goal. Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.85

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Will Ashcroft (o22.5)

A lot of first year players are home-ground specialists are Ashcroft is an extreme case of this averaging 28 at home and 18 away. After getting home-sick and pooping his diapers last week with a 13, the books have taken the bait and we’re getting a low line on what will be an open, free flowing game at the Gabba.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

Adam Saad (o23.5)

The Dogs have come with a new style in 2023 which allow crabs and scabs down back to lap up the nut down back like crazy. Docherty has moved up the ground and Newman will be kept busy trying to keep ADHD nightmare, Weightman busy.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.92

Units: 1

Callum Mills (o24.5)

After coming back into the midfield last week after such misadventures as getting mauled by Tom Hawkins, Mills was back to full time mid and revelled in it with 31. Freo have trended into one of the best teams in the league to gather touches in the midfield against in the last month.

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.85

Units: 1

Nick Hind (o14.5)

After this one failing against Geelong a couple weeks ago, we've been waiting for the right spot to hit Hind again. Getting a mega low line for him after a couple quiet weeks. Hind is a great look in these sorts of spots as he can accumulate quickly through getting involved in possession chains. Only need to look at last year numbers to see how consistently he was clearing this.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

1.5U $1.62

0.5U $4.33

Brodie Smith (o20.5)

Since round 4, Smith has been the designated kick in taker at the crows and has delivered games of 24, 21, 19, 19, 24 (3/5). In this role in the past, Smith has generally average around the 21-22 disposal mark so this line is getting close to where it should be, however probably a disposal short. Looking at match up today though, St Kilda been the best match up season long for designated kick in takers, and this provides a prime opportunity for Smith to collect plenty of uncontested footy at will.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 1

Wayne Milera

Again going with the St Kilda designated kicking matchup. Milera is building this season and this acts as a slight hedge against Smith if something goes awry (eg. subbed).

Bookmaker: TAB

Units:

1.5U 15+ $1.65

0.5U 20+ $3.50