Round 5 (2023) RS

RESULTS

TOTAL POINTS

ESS vs. MEL (o157.5)

Bookmaker: PickleBet $1.83

Units: 2

GEEvs. WC (o161.5)

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

GEEvs. WC - Second Half (o81.5)

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.85

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Touk Miller (u28.5)

With Will Brodie out (now the sub), James Aish has pushed into the middle. With his best role being a tagger, Freo have chosen to use him in that role. Last week he kept the prolific Rory Laird to just 27 touches and we think he'll do the same this afternoon against the Suns with Touk being GC's most important player.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.87

Units: 1.5

Lachie Weller (u25.5)

This is a career high line for Weller. There are a few things going against him today. Firstly his last 2 weeks have been against the easiest opposition to get kicks off HB against. Another is the return of Brandon Ellis who was so key for the Suns last year behind the ball after the bye. 26 touches week in week out is a lot to ask and we're taking the unders here.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.89

Units: 1.5

Tom Liberatore (u25.5)

Career high for Tom again here. Coming up against the best in the league at preventing midfield possession for a second year running, we're taking on the clearance pig.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1.5

Andrew McGrath (u23.5)

Andy has had a dream start to 2023 but he's quite had some of the softest match ups in the AFL to get their season going. Last year, Melbourne were a happy hunting ground for defenders as they forced teams to switch the ball to avoid kicking to Lever and May, this has changed now and Melbourne have adjusted their structure and teams are kicking long up the line and seeing lower disposal numbers for defenders. Getting both these guys on higher lines after hot starts and fading them at a tasty little spot.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.79

Units: 1.5

Tom Green (30+)

Great spot for the #6 contested player in the comp. Norwood oval is smaller than most AFL ovals and will create a more congested game which will allow Green to thrive and do what he does best. He has cleared this in 3/4 games this year with his miss coming on the biggest ground hes played on this year. Is getting huge midfield minutes and will have the opportunity to beat up on a young undermanned midfield.

Bookmaker: TAB $1.85

Units: 1.5

Tom Stewart (u23.5)

Stewart is only 2/12 on this line since the 2022 bye and West Coast have been one of the best teams this year at limiting half-back accumulation. Mitch Duncan came back into the side as the preferred distributor, taking a lot of kick-outs, further limiting the output of Stewart.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 1.5

Brad Crouch (u29.5)

Similarly with Wood, the Saints are dealing with a much tougher matchup than previous weeks and will find it hard to clear their lines. Brouch has had a fun time of it in the last month but that can’t last forever and you might’ve noticed by now that we love picking off career high lines.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.84

Units: 1.5

GOAL SCORERS

Noah Cumberland

With Lynch out, he should be spending a chunk of time leading out of the goal square. Last year averaged 4 scores a game and Sydney have some key omissions down back. Should be good in the air and at ground level if rain is to play a factor at some stage.

Bookmaker: Bet365

1U 2+ $2.45

0.4U 3+ $5

0.2U 4+ $16