Round 3 (2022)

RESULTS

DISPOSALS

Cam Guthrie (u25.5)

Let’s go again shall we. Had sub 60% TOG in the first half against the Swans and only 9 touches. Ended the game on 21 but nowhere near the 28 needed to clear our line. The Cats look committed to this low possession, high mid-rotation chaos ball so let’s make hay.

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 22 disposals (WIN)

Mitch Duncan (u26.5)

Let’s get greedy on the Cats. Mitch was managed through his return from injury last week against the Swans and only collected 15. Another Cat with high % uncontested 2021 numbers who will struggle to gather high numbers as he regains fitness.

Bookmaker: PointsBet $1.87

Units: 1

Result: 20 disposals (WIN)

Jack Ziebell (o21.5)

Jack is not a good defender. He gets routinely dragged back to the goal square by opposition forwards and mauled. But that’s not what we’re concerned with here. On a wet night against the clearance beasts of the Lions, the ball is going to live inside their 50-metre arc and Jack loves nothing more than a cheap kick.

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 18 disposals (LOSS)

Rory Laird (u31.5)

Rory is a disgusting pig. And you’ve got to be very careful around pigs when taking their unders. While Rory has only had a hand injury and has maintained his running fitness, game fitness is a different thing and he should be managed on his return to under 75% TOG which will limit his access to the ball.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 31 disposals (WIN)

Jackson Macrae (u34.5)

This is a crazy line for Macrae. He’s coming up against his bogey side in the Swans and has not cleared this line against them EVER in his career and averages 28 in his last 6 attempts. The Swans have always been stingy with their possession concession and 2022 is looking to be no different.

Result: 24 (WIN)

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.85

Units: 1

Result: 26 disposals (WIN)

TOTAL POINTS

Market: ADE vs. PA u165.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 188 (LOSS)

Market: WC vs. FREO u154.5

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 149 (WIN)

GOAL SCORERS

Lachie Keefe

The bookies are a little slow to this one. Keefe is the only one who can swing forward for Riccardi on the team sheet here. He's not a famous sharp shooter but you can't argue with the price.

Bookmaker: Bet365 (AGS/2+/3+)

Units: 1

Result: 1.0 (WIN)

Conor Rozee

We think with Finlayson out and replaced with a 1st gamer in Sam Skinner, Rozee will receive more IN50 targets. Has kicked 1.1 in both games to start and getting less than a handful of CBA's. We also expect Port to bounce back hard tonight and win well.

on the team sheet here. He's not a famous sharp shooter but you can't argue with the price.

Bookmaker: PointsBet (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1

Result: 0.1 (LOSS)