Round 20 (2024)

TOTAL POINTS

ADE Q1 Total u20.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Units: 1

ADE/HAW o164.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

George Wardlaw 20+ (o18.5 w. Promo)

It's been a tough few weeks for the Kangaroos having to play the Blues and travel to Sydney. This is a much easier match up on their second home ground and I expect Wardlaw to have a very strong run home against the easiest midfield to play against this season and claim the Rising Star medal.

Bookmaker: TAB $1.65

Units: 1.35

Jarrod Berry u18.5

Since the return of Will Ashcroft Barry has seen himself removed from the midfield rotation and onto the wing. The GC uncontested inhibition numbers at Carrara this season in the twilight slot are very strong at -18%.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet/Poinsbet/Lads $1.87

Units: 1

Josh Dunkley u27.5

To go with the above uncontested numbers at Carrara, this is a season high line for Dunkley after some big games against some easy match ups. This one is not so easy and we are happy to take the under.

Bookmaker:: Pointsbet $1.75

Units: 1.15

Darcy Cameron 15+ (o13.5 w. promo)

One of the better spots in the disposal betting is taking an experience ruck versus a team with no recognise ruck. Cameron has cleared this 72% of the time this season and the implied probability of the odds give it a 64% chance before we take into the promo available to all. We’ll ladder the alt as well.

Bookmaker: TAB

Units:

1.4U 15+ $1.55

0.6U 20+ $3.80

James Sicily u23.5

The Crows have been great at defending half-back possession all season at Adelaide Oval. In addition to this we might see Ben Keays playing a defensive roll on him. Also he has only clear this line 33% of the time this season. 

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 1

Hugo Ralphsmith 15+ (o13.5 w. Promo)

Ralphsmith is getting a solid run at it now without coming on as sub. Collingwood have been giving up an incredible amount of uncontested possession in transition to wings since the bye. There's a bit of weather around today but even in the wet last week the Hawks accumulated a crazy 251 uncontested possessions. He has cleared this in each of his last five games against tougher opposition.

Bookmaker: TAB $1.70

Units: 1.3

Karl Amon u22.5

Not really sure why we are getting this number here with his recent performance and the matchup stats from the crows to the half back line at Adelaide Oval but we’ll take it,

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 1

GOALSCORERS

Shai Bolton

The full complement of midfielders are back for Richmond. We should see Bolton at less centre bounces and playing deep forward much like a few weeks ago against the Dockers. The Pies have been terrible at defending quick transition and we wouldn't be surprised to see Bolton get a few cheap ones out the back.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet

Units:

0.8 2+ $2.10

0.4 3+ $4.75

0.2 4+ $12.00

0.1U 5+ $29.00