Round 20 (2023) RS

RESULTS

TOTAL POINTS

GC/BL o163.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 5

BL (Team Points) o92.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 5

DISPOSALS

Darcy Moore (o19.5)

Moore has taken over the kick-in duties since Nick Daicos’s move to the middle full-time in Round 15. He’s averaged 19.2 in that time and tonight will Harry McKay will have more freedom to zone off TDK. Went coco bananas against the Blues earlier in the year with 25 touches and 12 marks. In the last 3 weeks we’ve seen he biggest concession to position trend of the year with the Blues conceding

Bookmaker: TAB $2.30 (Sportsbet $2.30)

Units: 0.7U

Andrew Brayshaw (u28.5)

The Dockers are in free fall and good ol Andy keeps on battling but his gut running to space game isn’t going to get him very far in a spanking at Kardinia Park. GEE go -12% uncontested at KP and -19% to midfielders.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 1

Jordan Dawson (u27.5)

We’re forecasting a heavily contested finals-like match tonight in the showdown. Dawson should see attention at stages from Willem Drew. Night matches at Adelaide Oval have the lowest total possessions and lowest uncontested accumulation of any scenario in the league. Dawson also got a bit banged up last week and struggled against the Dees after spending some time getting attention on the side lines.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 1

Finn Callaghan (u20.5)

Callaghan is one of the highest uncontested % players in the competition with 79% of his possessions coming in that way. He’s been a bit banged up and missed the ADE game 2 weeks ago. The WB have given up -13% to MIDS in the last 5 weeks and Eureka stadium is a -7% uncontested matchup to the visiting team. Finn is a second year player playing away which is a -8% matchup on average.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

Stephen Coniglio (u29.5)

Working off the same stats as Callaghan here with a high number for Cogs.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.80

Units: 1.2

Jason Horne Francis (u18.5)

Playing the numbers here. Hasn’t gone over this number since May and there’s not easy ball in a showdown.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.86

Units: 1

Dom Sheed (o24.5)

This season NM are giving away an enormous +16% on uncontested possession away from home and over the course of the season have conceded +12% to mids. Dom is an absolutely bin of a chip hunting seagull who just wanders around Perth stadium looking for pointless touches which is perfect in this one. He'll get more opportunity with Shuey out of the side as well. The senior Eagles should be giving this one everything as it's their last winnable one of the season (*decade).

Bookmaker: Sportsbet/TAB $1.90

Units: 1