Round 19 (2023) B&F

RESULTS

TOTAL POINTS

GC/GWS U169.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

ESS/WB o169.5

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.90

Units: 1

HAW/RICH o162.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes/Topsport $1.88

Units: 1

PA/COLL u77.5 (First Half)

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 1

GOAL SCORERS

Rhyan Mansell AGS

Getting a good price here for a bloke that has kicked a goal in 8/12 games this season, including 3 sub-affected games. Has come into the team to replace Rioli, so will be playing as a crumbing forward. The odds on 365 is $1.27, given they generally have the best odds this price is a significant market discount.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $2.03 (or Ladbrokes $2.00)

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Adam Saad (u20.5)

Saad has been carrying an injury for a few weeks now which almost saw him subbed last week. He’s a big sub risk again this week and has to be taken at this number on his recent performances. Struggles to put up big numbers these days with competition from McGovert and piggy Newman. Carlton are also the biggest user of the corridor in the last few weeks and are crabbing sideways a lot less which hurts Saad.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 1

Patrick Dangerfield (u23.5)

Danger simply isn’t 100% and in a hot contest away against a top 4 team he’s not going to find easy ball. Dunkley should sit on him at clearance and we love this number for Danger. Also a sub-risk in a blow-out.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1

Hayden McLean (15+)

Bees dick away from the 15 last week with Hickey out and comes up against FREO without big Hodor, Sean Darcy. Luke Jackson is also carrying a hip concern so McLean will find himself up against guys like Treacy in the ruck. Worth a go at this price.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $3.05

Units: 0.5

Shai Bolton (u23.5)

Similarly to Tarryn Thomas last week, we expect to see Finn Maginness go the way of Shai Bolton and play a hard tagging role on him. This should really impact his ability to get a hold of the footy.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes/Sportsbet/Bet365 $1.87

Units: 1

Oliver Florent (u21.5)

Florent has put up some great numbers recently against easy opposition and also without Lloyd in the side last week. Lloyd usually feasts on the Dockers so Florent’ access will be limited by that and also by the fact that the Dockers are the hardest team in the competition to gather off half-back against.Particularly at home.

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.87

Units: 1

Jordan De Goey (u23.5)

Lots of things working for us here. Historically night games at AO are incredibly hard for the opposition to accumulate, especially against Port. Added to that, there is some wet weather forecast. De Goey has been sick all week and not trained properly which means he won’t be 100% and might spend more time than usual forward.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1