Round 18 (2024)

Total Points

WB/CAR o174.5

Bookmaker: All books (TAB $1.90)

Units: 1

COLL/GEE Q1 o41.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.94

Units: 1

Disposals

Karl Amon 25+ (o23.5 with promo)

After a few lean weeks Amon hits a good spot here. FREO away concede +10% to his position and there is plenty of space on the biggest ground in the league to gather possessions off half back. Karl is still the preferred option taking the kick outs.

Bookmaker: TAB $2.25

Units: 0.75

Nat Fyfe u20.5

Fatigue is starting to set in for Fyfe. He is up against the best team in the league at limiting opposition contested ball. And on the biggest ground in the league there will be plenty of outside ball movement and less contested situations for Fyfe to do his work.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.85

Units: 1

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera u26.5

Always a tough match up is playing either team in Adelaide at night of half back. Adding to that is the probable slippery conditions will get tonight and the return of Riley Bonner. NWM took a lot of kick out last week which helped to bump his numbers up but it won't be so easy tonight.

and less contested situations for Fyfe to do his work.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.86

Units: 1

Bailey Dale u25.5

The Blues have a strategy of paying attention to the oppositions best ball mover out of halfback and that is clearly Dale in this scenario. Expect to see Cincotta  pay close attention to him.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.87

Units: 1

Harry Sheezel u28.5

Opposition teams are starting to clue on to how important this guy is to the ball movement of the Kangaroos. Swans have plenty of options to limit him and it will be tough to clear this number today.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.94

Units: 1

Sam Flanders u30.5

Flanders has recently moved into the midfield and has given up his role getting cheap ball off the half back line. Even though this one is at home, Port still offer a difficult match up in the midfield and covering this line won't be easy. In this role last year and he was around the 26.5 mark.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1

Lachie Whitfield o29.5

Pretty simple again this one. Richmond are a great match up to opposition half backs. They also never tag halfbacks. There has been a little bit of chat this week about that from the coach but seems unlikely. GWS look to go through him at every opportunity and on the big expenses of the MCG he should rack them up.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.83

Units: 1.15

GOAL SCORERS

Harry McKay

The blues are severely shorthanded down back. They will be running with a combination of Khamis, Lobb and Coffield as they’re tall against Curnow, McKay and TDK which is just unfair. With the injury concerns over CC, the best opportunity here is the in form Harry. We also love the overs in this game so a good opportunity to double don on the value.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes

Units:

0.6U 3+ $2.50

0.3U 4+ $5.00

0.1U 5+ $11.50