Round 16 (2022)

RESULTS

DISPOSALS

Mitch Duncan (o23.5) With Tom Stewart definitely rubbed out for over tenderising the Meatball, Mitch should take over as the primary pivot in the back half. With the exception of early this year when he was underdone, Duncan's numbers have shot up without Stewart. He also comes up against North who are #2 at conceding uncontested possession and also #1 at conceding to the wing/def position which is traditionally Mitch's standard. It's also his 250th! The perfect storm.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.95

Units: 1

Result: 30 disposals (WIN)

Jack Macrae (o32.5)

Macrae lurrrrrves playing the Lions. Has gone over 45 in 3 of his last 5 games. He averages 37 in his last 7 encounters. A sneaky BYO suggestion might be first half disposals as he's got at least 20 touches in the first half in every one of his last 5 games!!! Crazy. Oh and it's also his 200th. Milestone play #2.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 1

Result: 32 disposals (LOSS)

Sam Docherty (o28.5) Not usually a fan of the high lines but everything points to Doch continuing on his way going 5/5 on this line and 7 of his last 9. Over the last month the Saints rank 3rd for conceding uncontested ball and are #1 at conceding across half back.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.92

Units: 1

Result: 22 disposals (LOSS)

TOTAL POINTS

Market: GEE vs. NM over 163.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 2

Result: 176 (WIN)

Market: RICH vs. WC over 170.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 221 (WIN)

GOAL SCORERS

Tim Membrey

Membrey has statistically had his best performances against the Blues and with them experiences the worst key defenders shortages of any team this year, it's Tim time. Has 23 goals in 9 games against the Blues.

Bookmaker: Topsport (2+/3+/4+/5+)

Units: 1.4

Result: 4.0 (WIN)*

Logan McDonald

We've gone deep for a spatial analysis of player goals vs. ground size and come up with some great results on Logan McDonald. We've had some success with this matchup against the Bombers as well.

Bookmaker: Topsport (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1.4

Result: 0.1 (LOSS)*

Brad Close

Bookmaker: Bet365 (AGS)

Units: 3.0

Result: 2.0 (WIN)*

Nick Haynes

Bookmaker: Bet365 (AGS/2+/3+/4+)

Units: 2.66

Result: 0.0 (LOSS)*