Round 8 (2022)

RESULTS

DISPOSALS

Luke Parker (o25.5) Best of the week. Could be 26.5 but I'd considering hitting that as well. Has been full-time mid over the last few weeks and he comes up against his pet team here. Has had at leat 29 in 5 of his last 6 matches against the Suns. GC rank #1 for conceding contested possessions and this is Parkers strength. Will be looking at Mills as well.

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.89

Units: 1

Result: 16 disposals (LOSS)

Patrick Dangerfield (u25.5) I keep putting Paddy in here hoping he plays and we'll see this week. We get lines for him that are consistently overs. If he does play, there'll be less mid time as he gets his legs back. Comes up against a GWS team who are excellent at limiting opposition mids. Also hasn't reached 20 touches in his last 3 efforts agains the Giants. However a lot of mids have poor records against GWS due to the De Boer effect which these days is lessened as they seem less keen even to use Ash in that role.

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.85

Units: 1

Result: 28 disposals (LOSS)

Nick Daicos (o24.5) Bit of an obsure one here. Daicos has put in some mediocre performances the last 2 weeks but hopefully that'll draw his line down. Has a better matchup here against the #1 team for conceding uncontested possession and he ranks #1 at Collingwood for that stat.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.91

Units: 1

Result: 25 disposals (WIN) Bailey Smith (u28.5) Hasn't looked his dominant early season self over the last few weeks and runs into Port who's thing is limited free ball around the ground to mids. Eyes on Macrae's line as well as he's been Bevo'd a bit in the last few weeks with reduced mid time.

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 24 disposals (WIN) Andrew Gaff (u26.5) Don't really have to explain this one too much. Under prepared so he was sub last week. Should be named to play a full game against a team he only registered 15 against last year and is never an easy task for wings.

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.85

Units: 1

Result: 21 disposals (WIN)

TOTAL POINTS

None we like this week.

GOAL SCORERS

Callum Ah Chee

Played forward last week and should see his opportunities as it rains goals against the Eagles.

Bookmaker: TAB (AGS)

Units: 1

Result: 0.0 (LOSS)*

Shane McAdam

Going again on McAdam. You can see a pattern here. We're taking medium forwards against the Blues. McAdam has been down lately but we're backing to come back strong here.

Bookmaker: SportsBet (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1

Result: 2.0 (WIN)*

Ollie Henry

This guy is a jet. A natural forward who is an aerial and ground ball threat. So even if it rains, we don't see it hurting his chances of kicking some goals like a key position forward. Fresh off 7 goals in the VFL and returning with a point to prove to try and hold his spot in the team. Has kick 6 goals in the first 4 games this year and we also think with De Goey recovering from his illness he should be back in the midfield this week. As a result we can see Henry leading out of the goal square as Collingwood's deepest forward.

Bookmaker: TopSport (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1

Result: 2.2 (WIN)*

Jack Martin

We think there's some value here. Jack's a confidence player that can continue on from kicking 2.2 last week. Has a good matchup against the Crows and at Marvel, should be lots of goals to go around.

Bookmaker: TopSport (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1

Result: 1.0 (LOSS)*