Round 7 (2022)

RESULTS

DISPOSALS

Lachie Neale (u29.5)

The leagues #2 contested ball winner comes up against the league #1 team at preventing them to opposition teams. A probably slippery game won't help him on the outside and there might be some close checking from Mills. Neale also has a poor history against the Swans, not clearing this line in any of his last 5 attempts.

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.95

Units: 1

Result: 37 disposals (LOSS)

Travis Boak (u30.5)

Had the unders on him last week but sadly West Coast are pathetic. He'll continue to see more time forward and in another slippery game up in Cairns against a stingy Saints side, we'll continue to play the unders.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.87

Units: 1

Result: 22 disposals (WIN)

Clayton Oliver (o31.5)

Pretty straight up here. Should monster the worst contested ball team (Hawks) in the league in the wet.

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.80

Units: 1

Result: 32 disposals (WIN)

Adam Cerra (o26.5)

After recovering from covid slowly he's been starting to perform more like I expected coming into the season. Has seen a sharp increase in TOG and CBAs in the last few weeks and now comes up against a North side who love giving up big numbers inside (#2 for CP, #4 for UP).

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 26 disposals (LOSS) Dayne Zorko (u24.5)

Had his lunch cut a fair bit by Keidan Coleman on the weekend. It's pretty crowded down there at HB at the moment. His form is also very sketchy with his ankle/achilles management issues. Comes up against the Swans who by now you've probably realised are tough to accumulate against.

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.89

Units: 1

Result: 22 disposals (WIN)

Dion Prestia (o25.5)

Pretty much the only midfielder that the Tigers can rely on atm. TOG and CBA's on the rise in the last 3 weeks as he regains fitness. West Coast are an easy kill in the middle atm with underdone mids and no NicNat. Always a concern that Dion could snap in half at any point like Bruce Rude the only worry.

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 16 disposals (LOSS, he did indeed snap in half. Subbed)

Tom Liberatore (o22.5)

Don't even know if we'll see a line at any reputable book but hope so. Another one with covid affected numbers. His time in the forward line seems to be mostly at an end and was back to 2021 record breaking beast mode last week. CBA numbers have grown every week for the last month. I especially like this if Parish isn't there.

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 24 disposals (WIN)

Seb Ross (u24.5)

Has had a dream run of late and is back to his 2018 pig-out form. But you know what Seb, I don't trust you. For some odd reason, even though he can't kick, he's playing a more outside role. Port are the fourth ranked side to stopping uncontested possession and in the wet again I'm taking on Sebastian.

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.85

Units: 1

Result: 31 disposals (LOSS)

TOTAL POINTS

Market: WB vs. ESS over 171.5

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.90

Units: 2

Result: 175 (WIN)

Market: GC vs. COLL over 164.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Units: 1

Result: 205 (WIN)

Market: StK vs. PA under 162.5

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.88

Units: 1

Result: 85 (WIN)

Market: BL vs. SYD under 172.5

Bookmaker: SportsBet $1.88

Units: 3

Result: 202 (WIN)

GOAL SCORERS

Cam Zurhaar

Came back to form last week. He's inconsistent but that just means you've got to time his bags and against a Blues side with high scoring games and a penchant for leaking goals to medium forwards, the time is now.

Bookmaker: SportsBet (3+/4+/5+)

Units: 1

Result: 2.0 (LOSS)*

Shane McAdam

Bookmaker: TAB (2+/3+/4+)

Units: 1

Result: 0.1 (LOSS)*

Nick Holman

Historical numbers play this one. Has goaled in 4/6 of his games so far this year and should get more opportunities this week.

Bookmaker: Bet365 (AGS)

Units: 2

Result: 2.0 (WIN)*