AFL Round 5 & NBA Week 25 (2026)

AFL Plays

ADE/CARL

Second Half Total u84.5

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 0.5

Izak Rankine 2+ Goals/Adelaide Win

Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.60

Units: 0.3

COL/FRE

Fremantle -12.5

Looks like we’re getting some slippery conditions here and I think that suits the Dockers nicely. They ranked in the top 4 in wet weather metrics and the Pies are bottom 4 in all of them. Last year in games we have classified as ‘wet’, the Dockers went 6-0 by an average margin of 26 points. Their midfield should dominate in these conditions and their smalls in Dudley, Shai, Reid and Switkowskl should do some damage on the ground. The Dockers were here last week building familiarity with the venue. Nick Daicos isn’t 100% and he’s their most important player in a lot of ways but mostly transition which will stop dead if his running capacity isnt there. 

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.91

Units: 0.5

TOTAL u165.5

Bookmaker: TAB/Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 0.5

Sam Switkowski MOST Goals

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $101

Units: 0.05

NM/BL

TOTAL u187.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 0.5

ESS/MEL

Jye Caldwell o21.5 Disposals

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.80

Units: 0.55

ESS/MEL

Kyle Langford AGS

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.83

Units: 0.55

GC/SYD

Matt Rowell u24.5 Disposals

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.95

Units: 0.45

GEE/WCE

Ollie Henry Goals

Bookmaker: TAB

Units: 

0.25U 3+ $2.80

0.1U 4+ $6.00

0.05U 5+ $13.00

PA/StK

St Kilda Win

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.72

Units: 0.65

Jack Higgins 2+/StK W

Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.60

Units: 0.3U

Mitchito Owens 2+/StK W

Bookmaker: Bet365 $3.50

Units: 0.2U

NBA Plays

NYK@ATL

Onyeka Okongwu Threes

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units: 

0.2U 3+ $2.75

0.1U 4+ $5.50

0.05U 5+ $10.50

0.05U 6+ $18.00

CLE@MEM

Jarrett Allen o4.5 Q1 Points

Love the DvP spot. Can't trust how they'll manage him later in the game with his knee issue but should come out of the gate hard. Consistent and heavy Q1 usage this season which should only increase without Spida and Harden.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.95

Units: 0.5

PHI@SAS

Q1 Total o60.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.84

Units: 0.55

Victor Wembanyama o6.5 Q1 Points 

Getting towards playoff minutes now in Q1s when playing strong opposition. Absolutely been balling lately and will want to add Embiid to his body count.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 0.5

MIN/IND

Micah Potter u15.5 PR

Had the spot start last in unique circumstances. Should return to his normal role and has a tough matchup.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.87

Next Best: Sportsbet $1.80

Units: 0.5

Bones Hyland o21.5 PRA

With the Wolves pretty much locked into 6th position I think we’ll see some conservative minutes here for the starters. That means extended minutes for Bonesy in an easy matchup. This should be a casual, no defence shootout.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.95

Next Best: Pointsbet $1.87

Units: 0.5

CHA/BOS

Q4 TOTAL u54.5 

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Next Best: Bet365 $1.87*

Units: 0.5

*inc. OT.

DAL/LAC

Q1 TOTAL o61.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.98

Units: 0.45

Jordan Miller o9.5 Points

One of the highest paint percentage guards in the league. Dallas are already the worst team at defending the paint but might only have Bagley as a big today. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet$1.90

Units: 0.5

MIN@ORL

Orlando -5.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 0.5

Franz Wagner 5+ Q1 Points

High Q1 usage and mins increasing off his injury. Must win for ORL and with no Gobert, he’ll have a free lane to the basket.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.40

Units: 0.3

DAL@PHO

Cooper Flagg Q1 Points 

Truly bananas Q1 usage for Flagg. The only thing the Mavs have to play for is to get Flagg the ROTY award. They’ve even made t-shirts the players wear before the games. He’s upped his Q1 mins to 11 in the last few games and will be getting shots up like crazy. 

Bookmaker: Bet365

Next Best: Sportsbet

Units:

0.25U 7+ $1.87

0.1U 10+ $3.80

BOS@NYK

New York -3.5

With the Cavs winning today, the Knicks need this one to maintain 3rd. Expecting Queta to miss which will allow KAT and Robinson to go nutso. The Celts on the other hand can give this one up and get it done against the Pels. 

Bookmaker: Bet365/TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

LAL@GSW

Lakers +5.0

The Lakers need this one. They’ll have banked the Jazz on final day but winning this one will keep the Rockets at bay. They were embarrassed by the Thunder to the tune of 36 points so should be up for this one. There’s a chance Curry plays but he won’t be pushed hard with nothing to play for. 

Bookmaker: TAB $1.85

Units: 0.55

IND@BRK

Indiana -2.5

Important one for the Nets to lose here. Expect some serious shenanigans from Brooklyn. The Pacers can win one here and it won’t affect things too much.

Bookmaker: Bet365/TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

DET@CHA

Charlotte -3.5

Bookmaker: Bet365/TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

BRK@MIL

Ousmane Dieng 25+ Points

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $8.50

Units: 0.1

ATL/CHA Win

Bookmaker: TAB $1.94

Units: 0.5