AFL Round 2 & NBA Week 22 (2026)

AFL Plays

Adelaide/Western Bulldogs

Q3 Total o48.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.95

Units: 0.5

Luke Pedlar Goals

Kicked at least 1 goal in every game he’s played at AO since 2024. Was on his own inside fwd 50 a lot last week as defences focus on bigger names. Hungry as hell so if he sees the sticks, it’s going up. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet 

Units:

0.25U 2+ $3.45

0.07U 3+ $10

0.02U 4+ $31

Jordan Dawson AGS

16 goals from the last 19 games. Often drifts fwd when Rankine has midfield minutes. Can take an overhead grab and the Dogs are gonna be stretched in that area.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.10

Units: 0.4

Richmond v Gold Coast SUNS

TOTAL u191.5

This one's gone too far. The way the Tigers play their home ground isn't conducing to a shootout. Has been steaming up and up for days so might pay to wait until closer to game time. 

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

Will Powell o19.5 Disposals

Getting big mid midfield minutes with Matt Rowell out of the side. Opposition midfielders are going to rack it up all year with the shit trucks that the tigers are rolling within there.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet/Pointsbet/Bet365 $1.87

Units: 0.5

Nick Vlastuin u19.5 Disposals

Back in the side on a limited preparation (low TOG) and has a full squatted defenders to compete with for the ball. Short and Banks are likely to shared a kick out responsibilities and with the predicted numbers behind the ball that gives him a lot less space. 

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.80

Units: 0.55

Mac Andrew 16+ Disposals

Being looked for a lot more lately to run the ball out of defence. With Charlie Ballrd in the lineup, he’s got less responsibility in the air. Meets the ideal matchup with the Tigers at the G having a very set way they play with numbers behind the ball. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 0.5

GWS GIANTS v St Kilda

Finn Callaghan u27.5 Disposals 

Still hobbled with a sore hip. Has seen attention a couple of times over the matchup with the Saints. Gotta keep taking the under until he can prove he’s over this injury. Also some rain around which will make it tougher. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 0.5

Tom De Koning Disposals

Running around with an illness last week and pumped in the media so expect a big showing against a non-mobile GWS ruck duo. Marshall in not a huge worry as he managed 20 with him in the side in round 1. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet/TAB

Units: 

0.3U o16.5 $1.87 (Sportsbet)

0.15U 20+ $3.25 (TAB)

Fremantle v Melbourne

FREO TEAM Total o105.5

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Units: 0.5

Shai Bolton Goals

We love FREO to pile it on here and the Demons defensive 50 looks like chaos on turnover. 

Bookmaker: Bet365 

Units: 

0.5U 2+ $1.83

0.2U 3+ $3.75

0.1U 4+ $9.50

Josh Treacy Goals

Keeping it simple here with the best fwd option for the Dees. Look great last week against far better opposition. 

Bookmaker: TAB

Units: 

3+ 0.4U $2.05

4+ 0.2U $3.75

5+ 0.1U $7.50 (Sportsbet)

Jai Culley AGS

Bookmaker: TAB $2.20

Units: 0.4

Joe Berry 15+ Disposals

Bookmaker: TAB $3.40

Units: 0.2

Logan Evans 15+ Disposals /PA Win

Bookmaker: TAB $2.00

Units: 0.45

WCE/NM

Zane Duursma AGS

Bookmaker: Bet365 $2.05

Units: 0.45

NBA Plays

POR@BRK

Donovan Clingan o28.5 PR

This is a high line but the mix of no Rob Williams and the interior weakness of Brooklyn is too good to pass up. Has an incredible record without Rob Williams. Has cleared this line in the last 8 B2Bs. 

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.95

Units: 0.5

DAL@NOP

New Orleans Q1 TOTAL o32.5

Back to the well backing early pace against Dallas. A few other signals are promising with the Mavs coming off both a busy schedule and a big win last night. Statistically teams often have their guard down early on low rest and off a big win. The Pels have multiple options to take advantage of Dallas’s interior weakness. 

Bookmaker: TAB/Sportsbet $2.00

Units: 0.45

MEM@CHI

Matas Buzelis o21.5 Points

Minutes are up. Usage is up. The Bulls seem like they’re trying to see what a Buzelis and Giddey duo driving the bus on their own would look like. Buzelis is a rim finisher or a 3-ball shooter and both have been big areas of concern for the Grizz as they drive the tank off a cliff.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.96

Units: 0.5

Josh Giddey Triple Double

It’s time to bin it up against the Grizz. If he’s close near the end, they’ll get him his numbers.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $3.30

Units: 0.2

Jeremiah Fears Q1

Off the bench here which I think helps his case. Off the bench he leads the team in Q1 per minute usage and the Mavs are top 5 in allowing guard drives which is where Jerry gets his peri-peri. DAL going with the small ball lineup again tonight. 

Note: Those who can’t get the Q1 points can still grab the o12.5 Points for the game. That’s nice.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units: 

0.3U 3+ $1.86

0.1U 5+ $3.10

SAS@LAC

Clippers u113.5 TEAM Total

Was interested in this yesterday when it was 109.5 but the totals has gone bananas. The Clips Will have to totally reject their offence with Kawhi rating #3 in total usage across the league. Garland is barely at full mins and was hobbled last game. Mathurin is not capable of running an offence on his own and his tunnel vision will create issues. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.85

Units: 0.5

DET/DEN/SAS/CLE/OKC Win

When it gets to silly season I'll throw a few of these which will make you look like a massive nuff on the surface to the books. DET and DEN are certainties imo. DEN with a big schedule and talent advantage. MIL without Giannis are awful. Turner is also out and Rollins is playing ill. I can't fathom SAC beating Wemby and ORL are on a 5 game in 7 night stretch against a resurgent OKC with their best lineup available. 

Note: You'll get a big boost on Bet365 if you have an account there. 

Bookmaker:: TAB $1.83

Units: 1

Josh Hart Triple Double

NYK are not good at the moment and this one could potentially still be a contest into the 4th. Averages 11.5/9/9 over his last 5 without Brunson. The doubt is usually the dimes in these bets for Josh and IND love giving it up to the ball handler.

Bookmaker:: Pointsbet $16

Units: 0.1

DEN@MEM

Christian Braun 15+ (14+) Points

Love this spot. No Gordon today at the dunker spot so Braun will take advantage of the inevitable Jokic piss-take-tank-team passing fest. MEM are last at defending the rim over the last month and there’ll be plenty of easy buckets to be had. We’ve had lots of success taking on the Grizz so far.

Bookmaker: TAB $2.40

Next Best: Bet365 $2.60

Units: 0.35

LAL@HOU

Kevin Durant o4.5 AST

Durant was blitzed the whole second half by the Lakers to great effect a few days ago and I wouldn’t expect any change to the winning formula. Durant had 10 potential assists for 2 completions and 7 turnovers. There are strong trends for big games from star players coming off a loss in the first leg of a double and I’d expect a big one from Kev today. For the brave, you could add Jabari threes as he seemed to be the guy getting free. 

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.80

Units: 0.5

LAL@MIA

Miami -2.5

The Heat have quietly been building their health back and get Bam back tomorrow. It’s a strong bounce spot off being embarrassed by the Hornets. They run into the Lakers here on a tough B2B finishing late here in Houston. It’s been a draining few days here in Houston with both games going deep. LeBron is unlikely to play and I wouldn’t be surprised if to see a few other guys show up on the report tomorrow morning.

Bookmaker: Bet365/TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

MINN/POR

Rudy Gobert o24.5 PR

All things conspiring here for a big game from Rudy. The talk from the coaches has been that they want to get him more involved on offence without Ant and he’ll have the opportunity to do that against the Blazers.The addition of Kyle Anderson has really helped him with SloMo really looking for him under the rim.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.95

Units: 0.5

MINN/POR

Jason Tatum o5.5 Q1

Rising in minutes and rising in usage with every game. He’ll be looking to practice his blow by’s and lay ups against the worst rim defence in the league. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 0.5

NYK/BRK

Josh Minott Threes

New York giving up an large amount of triples lately with KAT playing injured and giving oppo PF/Cs a lot of space. The volume is there with Minott and has a large 3PA to FGA percentage. Could go 0/10 but let’s have a ping anyway. This game has silly season written all over it. 

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

0.25U 2+ $2.15

0.05U 3+ $4.50

0.02U 4+ $9.50

0.01 5+ $17

GSW@ATL

Golden State u109.5 TEAM Total

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 0.5

LAC@DAL

Clippers Q1 o29.5

Back here again. Clips 0-4 and will want to start strong here. Garland/Kawhi offensive rating is through the roof when they start together and they should shred Dallas’s Q1 high pace chaos-ball.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.80

Next Best: TAB/SB $2.00 (o30.5)

Units: 0.55

IND@SAS

Dylan Harper o23.5 PRA

Wemby is still questionable here but I’m going early as I think he clears either way. With Castle out this shapes as a Harper showcase. He's is the king of layups and Indiana have been reasonable at defending the rim with Zubac back but Zu is out for the season now and it’ll be back to Pacers no defense ping pong.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.90

Units: 0.5